The move by the Alhaji Baraje group might be politically expedient for two main reason. First, it exposed the deep seated failure of a collective group of people to properly associate and forge a common front towards meeting the needs of the larger society. This sort of discontinuous disarray within the Nigerian political space is not limited to the PDP and has given room for intermittent interruption of true democratic process in most of the parties. There is no amount of name calling and brinkmanship that can change the situation of things with the political space as currently being operated – debilitatingly poor internal democracy within. And secondly, it exposed to the entire world the inability of the leaders to allow the rule of the game to prevail. Suffice it to say that the documentations of the rules of political parties within Nigeria might sound very elegant; it may even be among the best in the world. But because of the deep-seated corruption in the country, the operation of such papers are not practicable.
The failed efforts of those who have been appointed to lead the reconciliation of the renegades with mainstream partymen should not be befuddling owing to the situation Barack Obama described as strongmen weak institution. If the institutions are driven by true intention of providing enviable welfare for the people, I do not think that there should be open desecration of the political ambience. The need to forge a common front to fight poverty, hunger, illiteracy and disease should be the primary focus of the group. Economic data are not encouraging at the moment. The number young people who are willing and able to work is about one-fourth of the nation’s total population. This alone should be the most critical concern of those paid by the people to help revamp an ailing economy.
My fear however is that we may collectively fall again into the hands of the President in 2015. This is very likely in view of the fact that Nigerians are extremely sentimental when it comes to taking important political decision such as voting to elect new political office holders. Past elections have not produced true democrats; rather, it has served as a boon to legendary politicians with inimitable political legerdemain. With water-tight cohesion with economists, politician usually get extolment after abdicating owing to tenure expiration; and, are honoured for their ‘selfless’ service to the nation even when there is not proportionate redemption of the economy when a metric-tape is used to gauge the amount of money spent during a four-year-term and the physical infrastructure on ground. Like in warfare, just as it is in present day Nigeria, hunger is a potent weapon for the political emancipation of the few smart ones – some see money as the election winning wand. With as a sum of money as meager as two dollars, congenitally poor Nigerians often commit crime against themselves. This is like committing suicide by stealth. The idea of living for tomorrow is only possible in the minds of those who can live beyond their immediate needs. The poor people in Nigeria are pitiably weak-minded individuals who are tools in the hands of powerful politicians. Some do not actually know what they want from the ruling class.
The president will certainly contest in 2015 and his homing to victory is not in doubt. The import of this argument is valid based on the electoral resources and the uniqueness of his generation. Dr Jonathan belongs to the facebook, twitter, etc generation of leaders with huge fan base on the internet. Nigeria being one of the fastest GSM economy in the world. With over 35 million mobile phone users in the country, Dr Jonathan will certainly not have problems reaching his audience. This is good news for him but it also depends on whether his popularity with these people is not waning. Most importantly, it is pertinent to mention that the presidency in Nigerian federal system is an astonishingly powerful office. In fact after the Almighty creator the president of the country is the next in command. The president is either more senior to Satan the devil or he intermittently share official responsibilities with him. Simply put, the president is too powerful. He controls all the essential infrastructure in the country. These hydra-headed issues do not have practical solutions in Nigeria.
The true federalism and devolution of power should be the primary concern of the newPDP if really their committed to resolving the crisis facing the country. An understanding of the federal government as the single most debilitating headache in Nigeria will set the nPDP on the party of creating a nation. Genuine agitation like this one will make them the heroes of our democracy and not by fighting an individual who is simply deploying the richness of his powers to suppress any form of criticism with the hope of keeping himself in office. The reason in my line of argument is that even if Baraje and his group succeeded in removing from the list of PDP aspirants in 2015 or say preventing the president from contesting, they would still continue to tap into the federal stinking arsenal with the hope of weakening dissenting voices. So the whole noise about misrule, highhandedness and dictatorship will amount to phantasy. It would only be seen as the sacrifisation of Jonathan for the resurrection of Sule Lamido or Kawu Baraje. Nothing would have changed in essence. This is why discerning Nigerian should help this group to re-designate their angle of attack towards addressing the real issues that gave Dr Jonathan so much power.
In the meantime, we welcome the implosion of the PDP and hope that the fight towards creating a better Nigeria has started with the pioneering group of 7. If the people cannot stand up to the maniacal and minutiae elites due to their insincere love for this troubled country, or as result of their congenital obsession with religious catechism with credo of happiness and other esoteric rewards deemed to come after life, then the fight by the rich and powerful against the other rich from the other bloc is a tipping point for psychopathic gangs to act. But caution must be exercised in the struggle. As has been seen in other climes where such has taken place, some other entrenched interest could display the natural owners of the struggle; some of this people might even been sympathetic to government or honed by government to make nonsense of the genuine agitation of the people.